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County risk profile

Washington County, Maryland Climate risk & resilience profile

Inland flooding drives 54% of Washington County's $26.9 million in expected yearly hazard losses. FEMA's records show $214 thousand in mitigation grants.

Risk index
68.8/ 10069th percentile of U.S. countiesRelatively Low
Expected annual loss
$26.9M/ yr70th percentile of U.S. countiesRelatively Low
Social vulnerability
44.6/ 10045th percentile; lower is less vulnerableRelatively Moderate
Community resilience
73.2/ 10073rd percentile; higher is more resilientRelatively High

Last updated: · Scores from FEMA’s National Risk Index (December 2025)

FEMA's model puts Washington County's expected hazard losses at $26.9 million a year, and inland flooding accounts for 54% of it. Its record of FEMA mitigation grants is the thinnest in Maryland: $214 thousand in federal share since fiscal 1996, including a $75,000 grant in fiscal 2022 to model Hagerstown's storm drains.

What drives the risk

The Potomac River forms the county's southern boundary, and its tributaries run through the towns. The county's 2023 plan counts 59 properties with repeated flood insurance losses, 42 of them outside town limits, and lists Hancock's downtown along the Tonoloway creeks among the places at risk. The plan's list of major floods includes March 1936, Hurricane Agnes in 1972 and November 1985, and in May 2018 storms washed out roads and bridges in Washington and Frederick counties, bringing a federal disaster declaration.

Hurricanes rank second at 15% of modeled loss, the largest hurricane share of any inland Maryland county. Moderate social vulnerability (44.6) and relatively high community resilience (73.2) pull the overall risk score of 68.8 slightly below the loss score of 69.6.

Where the mitigation money has gone

Two of the five funded projects paid for hazard mitigation plans. The largest, $70 thousand, paid for protective measures on Hancock's water and sewer system under the January 1996 flood declaration, and Hagerstown received $15 thousand for minor flood control in fiscal 2010. The 2022 Hagerstown grant came through FEMA's Building Resilient Infrastructure and Communities program.

The May 2018 declaration covered Washington County, but the Hazard Mitigation Grant Program projects funded under it went to other counties. Some towns have bought out flood-prone property anyway. The plan reports that Funkstown turned acquired flood-prone properties into Jerusalem Park and Clear Spring made a flood-prone property into a town park; neither appears in OpenFEMA's mitigation grant records for the county.

The mitigation plan

The 2023 update covers the county, Hagerstown and eight towns, and added dam failure to its hazard list. The commissioners adopted it on December 5, 2023, and FEMA's approval runs to December 4, 2028. FEMA's plan status data still lists Clear Spring, Funkstown and Sharpsburg as approvable pending adoption. The plan ranks flooding a Medium risk, behind the opioid epidemic, structural and industrial fires, and severe winter weather.

What we'd look at next

With 59 repeatedly flooded properties and a plan approved through 2028, Washington County has the makings of a project pipeline and almost no FEMA-funded projects to show for it. We'd turn the plan's town flood actions, starting with Hancock's Main Street, into a short list of buyout and floodproofing projects, each matched to a funding route before the next declaration. We'd also get the three towns still pending to adopt the plan, since FEMA requires an adopted plan before it funds a community's projects.

Hazards ranked by expected annual loss

What FEMA expects each hazard to cost Washington County in an average year, in damage to buildings and crops and in the dollar value it puts on deaths and injuries. Inland flooding leads at $14.5M a year.

  1. Inland Flooding$14.5M54%
  2. Hurricane$4.1M15%
  3. Tornado$1.8M7%
  4. Heat Wave$1.4M5%
  5. Drought$1.3M5%
  6. Earthquake$1.2M5%
  7. Strong Wind$881K3%
  8. Lightning$491K2%

Of the $26.9M total: buildings $20.6M, people $4.1M, agriculture $2.1M.

All 18 hazards FEMA scores
HazardExpected annual lossLoss ratingRisk ratingEvents on record
Inland Flooding$14.49MRelatively LowRelatively Moderate59
Hurricane$4.06MRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate24
Tornado$1.84MRelatively LowRelatively Low14
Heat Wave$1.42MRelatively LowRelatively Moderate59
Drought$1.25MRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate119
Earthquake$1.22MRelatively LowRelatively Low—
Strong Wind$881KRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate242
Lightning$491KRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate—
Hail$473KRelatively LowRelatively Low125
Cold Wave$465KRelatively LowRelatively Low36
Winter Weather$217KRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate260
Ice Storm$32KRelatively LowRelatively Low50
Wildfire$22KVery LowVery Low—
Landslide$15KRelatively LowRelatively Low—
Avalanche$139Very LowVery Low—
Coastal Flooding—Not ApplicableNot Applicable—
Tsunami—Not ApplicableNot Applicable—
Volcanic Activity—Not ApplicableNot Applicable—

FEMA hazard mitigation grants

Projects FEMA has funded in Washington County through its Hazard Mitigation Assistance programs, as OpenFEMA lists them. Grants to towns and cities inside the county count here; statewide grants don’t.

Funded projects
5
Federal share
$214K
Fiscal years
1996–2022

By program

  • HMGP · Hazard Mitigation Grant Program$85K · 2 projects
  • BRIC · Building Resilient Infrastructure and Communities$75K · 1 project
  • PDM · Pre-Disaster Mitigation$54K · 2 projects

Most recent projects

  • FY2022 · BRIC · Awarded$75K

    City of Hagerstown - Hydraulic model of storm drainage system

    City of Hagerstown

  • FY2016 · PDM · Closed$30K

    Local Multijurisdictional Multihazard Mitigation Plan

    Washington County

  • FY2010 · HMGP · Closed$15K

    Other Minor Flood Control

    Hagerstown

  • FY2010 · PDM · Closed$24K

    Local Multihazard Mitigation Plan

    Washington County Emergency Management

  • FY1996 · HMGP · Closed$70K

    Water and Sanitary Sewer System Protective Measures

    HANCOCK

What the money paid for most often

  • Other Minor Flood Control ×1
  • Local Multijurisdictional Multihazard Mitigation Plan ×1
  • Local Multihazard Mitigation Plan ×1
  • Water and Sanitary Sewer System Protective Measures ×1

Hazard mitigation plan

Washington County, Maryland Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan (Updated 2023)

Covers the county, Hagerstown and eight towns. The Board of County Commissioners adopted it on December 5, 2023, and FEMA approved it for December 5, 2023, through December 4, 2028.

Adopted
December 2023
FEMA approval runs to
December 4, 2028

Frequently Asked Questions

Inland flooding. FEMA's National Risk Index puts Washington County's expected losses from inland flooding at $14.5 million a year, 54% of the county's $26.9 million total across 18 hazards. Hurricanes rank second at $4.1 million, the largest hurricane share of any inland Maryland county, followed by tornadoes at $1.8 million.
Washington County's Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan, updated in 2023, covers the county, Hagerstown and eight towns. The county commissioners adopted it on December 5, 2023, and FEMA's approval runs through December 4, 2028. The plan ranks flooding a Medium risk, behind the opioid epidemic, structural fires and severe winter weather.
FEMA's records show $214 thousand in Hazard Mitigation Assistance grants to Washington County from fiscal 1996 to 2022, the smallest total of any Maryland county. The most recent is $75,000 in fiscal 2022 for a hydraulic model of Hagerstown's storm drainage system.

Neighboring counties

About this data

Scores. FEMA’s National Risk Index (December 2025 release) ranks every U.S. county against all the others. A score is a percentile: a risk score of 82 means a higher value than 82% of counties. The risk index is the expected annual loss scaled up for higher social vulnerability and down for stronger community resilience. FEMA groups risk and loss into five ratings by natural breaks, and vulnerability and resilience into national fifths.

Expected annual loss is FEMA’s modeled average yearly loss from 18 natural hazards to buildings (at replacement value), crops and livestock, and people, whose expected deaths and injuries FEMA converts to dollars. It is an average, not a forecast: a low-risk county can still have a bad year.

Vulnerability and resilience. Social vulnerability comes from the U.S. Census Bureau’s Community Resilience Estimates. Community resilience is FEMA’s version of the University of South Carolina’s Baseline Resilience Indicators for Communities (2020), which counts past mitigation spending among its inputs. Vulnerability scores bottom out: 334 of the 3,144 counties scored, 8 of them in Maryland, share the lowest score, 10.6. Population is the 2020 Census count.

Grants are FEMA’s Hazard Mitigation Assistance awards in Maryland that are closed, approved, obligated or awarded: the projects in OpenFEMA’s older project file, which FEMA froze on August 31, 2026, plus the grants FEMA has managed in FEMA GO since fiscal 2020, from HMA Subapplications (both retrieved September 30, 2026). Projects FEMA now lists as withdrawn or denied are left out unless money was obligated to them. Amounts are the federal share obligated. Each grant counts toward the county it serves; 103 statewide grants ($24.1M) count toward none.

FEMA describes the index as one source for risk-reduction decisions, to weigh alongside benefit-cost analysis and local knowledge.

National Risk IndexRisk Index data (OpenFEMA)HMA Subapplications (OpenFEMA)Risk Index FAQ (FEMA, PDF)

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