Last updated: · Scores from FEMA’s National Risk Index (December 2025)
Allegany County's expected hazard losses are modest, $15.0 million a year, and unusually concentrated: inland flooding accounts for 76%, the largest single-hazard share of any Maryland county. On May 13, 2025, Georges Creek flooded Westernport and its neighbors, and FEMA validated $33.7 million in damages across Allegany and Garrett counties. Maryland asked twice for a federal disaster declaration and was turned down both times.
What drives the risk
Most of the county lies in the Ridge and Valley province, where streams rise on steep sandstone ridges and run through narrow valleys to the Potomac. The county's hazard mitigation plan notes that much of the growth before floodplain rules arrived in 1981 landed on steep slopes and in floodplains. Buildings account for 84% of the modeled loss. The plan records Georges Creek overtopping its banks in the 1996 floods and flooding homes in Midland, Lonaconing, Barton and Westernport.
Social vulnerability scores 81.2, the highest in Maryland and the state's only Very High rating. FEMA's index scales losses up where vulnerability is high and down where resilience is high. Allegany's resilience also rates Very High, but vulnerability wins out: the risk score of 58.5 sits above the loss score of 50.6.
Where the mitigation money has gone
More than half of the FEMA projects funded here since fiscal 1996 bought flood-prone property along rivers and streams, about $2.5 million of the $2.9 million total. Buyouts were also the aim of Project Impact: FEMA chose Allegany as one of seven pilot communities nationwide, and the workgroups the county formed in 1998 set acquisitions as their goal.
The Hazard Mitigation Grant Program, which is post-disaster money, supplied $2.4 million after declarations such as the January 1996 flooding and Tropical Storm Fran that September. The largest grant, $650 thousand to Cumberland in fiscal 2016, paired a buyout with riprap shoreline stabilization.
The mitigation plan
The 2024 plan update, prepared with Cumberland, Frostburg and five towns, has FEMA approval from June 11, 2024, to June 10, 2029. It counts 21 repetitive loss properties and keeps a flood buyout waiting list on which Barton and Lonaconing, both on Georges Creek, hold 25 of 58 properties. Purchases from that list went on hold while staff worked to move 25 mobile homes out of the floodplain at the Garden City park in LaVale.
What we'd look at next
Allegany's buyouts have mostly depended on disaster declarations, and the May 2025 flood produced none, which also shut off Hazard Mitigation Grant Program money for that event. We'd start with the Georges Creek properties on the waiting list and pursue money that doesn't wait on a declaration, including FEMA's Flood Mitigation Assistance, which has paid for two buyouts here. The plan names the other constraint: staff time. A buyout list moves only as fast as the office running it.
Hazards ranked by expected annual loss
What FEMA expects each hazard to cost Allegany County in an average year, in damage to buildings and crops and in the dollar value it puts on deaths and injuries. Inland flooding leads at $11.4M a year.
- Inland Flooding$11.4M76%
- Strong Wind$803K5%
- Heat Wave$766K5%
- Tornado$520K3%
- Hurricane$359K2%
- Hail$331K2%
- Earthquake$237K2%
- Lightning$196K1%
Of the $15M total: buildings $12.6M, people $2.2M, agriculture $129K.
All 18 hazards FEMA scores
| Hazard | Expected annual loss | Loss rating | Risk rating | Events on record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inland Flooding | $11.36M | Relatively Low | Relatively Moderate | 56 |
| Strong Wind | $803K | Relatively Moderate | Relatively Moderate | 133 |
| Heat Wave | $766K | Relatively Low | Relatively Low | 27 |
| Tornado | $520K | Relatively Low | Relatively Low | 10 |
| Hurricane | $359K | Relatively Low | Relatively Low | 10 |
| Hail | $331K | Relatively Low | Relatively Low | 88 |
| Earthquake | $237K | Very Low | Very Low | — |
| Lightning | $196K | Relatively Low | Relatively Low | — |
| Cold Wave | $124K | Relatively Low | Very Low | 79 |
| Winter Weather | $112K | Relatively Moderate | Relatively Moderate | 372 |
| Drought | $86K | Relatively Low | Relatively Low | 140 |
| Landslide | $66K | Relatively Low | Relatively Moderate | — |
| Ice Storm | $39K | Relatively Low | Relatively Low | 24 |
| Wildfire | $6K | Very Low | Very Low | — |
| Avalanche | $853 | Very Low | Very Low | — |
| Coastal Flooding | — | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | — |
| Tsunami | — | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | — |
| Volcanic Activity | — | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | — |
FEMA hazard mitigation grants
Projects FEMA has funded in Allegany County through its Hazard Mitigation Assistance programs, as OpenFEMA lists them. Grants to towns and cities inside the county count here; statewide grants don’t.
- Funded projects
- 23
- Federal share
- $2.9M
- Fiscal years
- 1996–2020
By program
- HMGP · Hazard Mitigation Grant Program$2.4M · 19 projects
- FMA · Flood Mitigation Assistance$438K · 2 projects
- PDM · Pre-Disaster Mitigation$41K · 2 projects
Most recent projects
FY2020 · HMGP · Closed$34K
Local Multijurisdictional Multihazard Mitigation Plan
Cumberland
FY2016 · HMGP · Closed$650K
Acquisition of Private Real Property (Structures and Land) - Riverine; Shoreline Stabilization (Riprap, etc.)
Cumberland
FY2016 · HMGP · Closed$0
Local Multihazard Mitigation Plan
Allegany
FY2016 · PDM · Closed$21K
Local Multijurisdictional Multihazard Mitigation Plan
Allegany County
FY2013 · HMGP · Closed$15K
Acquisition of Private Real Property (Structures and Land) - Riverine
Allegany
FY2013 · HMGP · Closed$99K
Acquisition of Private Real Property (Structures and Land) - Riverine
Frostburg
FY2012 · HMGP · Closed$88K
Generators
Frostburg
FY2012 · HMGP · Closed$73K
Generators
Frostburg
| FY | Project | Recipient | Federal share | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Local Multijurisdictional Multihazard Mitigation PlanHMGP · DR-4491-0002-P | Cumberland | $34K | Closed |
| 2016 | Acquisition of Private Real Property (Structures and Land) - Riverine; Shoreline Stabilization (Riprap, etc.)HMGP · DR-4261-0009-R | Cumberland | $650K | Closed |
| 2016 | Local Multihazard Mitigation PlanHMGP · DR-4261-0015-R | Allegany | $0 | Closed |
| 2016 | Local Multijurisdictional Multihazard Mitigation PlanPDM · PDMC-PL-03-MD-2016-002 | Allegany County | $21K | Closed |
| 2013 | Acquisition of Private Real Property (Structures and Land) - RiverineHMGP · DR-4091-0025-R | Allegany | $15K | Closed |
| 2013 | Acquisition of Private Real Property (Structures and Land) - RiverineHMGP · DR-4091-0022-R | Frostburg | $99K | Closed |
| 2012 | GeneratorsHMGP · DR-4075-0008-R | Frostburg | $88K | Closed |
| 2012 | GeneratorsHMGP · DR-4075-0012-R | Frostburg | $73K | Closed |
What the money paid for most often
- Acquisition of Private Real Property (Structures and Land) - Riverine ×10
- Local Multihazard Mitigation Plan ×3
- Generators ×2
- Acquisition of Public Real Property (Structures and Land) - Riverine ×2
Hazard mitigation plan
Allegany County, Maryland 2024 Hazard Mitigation Plan Update
A multi-jurisdiction plan covering the county, Cumberland, Frostburg and five towns. FEMA approved it on June 11, 2024, and the county adopted it on August 8, 2024.
- Adopted
- August 2024
- FEMA approval runs to
- June 10, 2029
Frequently Asked Questions
Neighboring counties
About this data
Scores. FEMA’s National Risk Index (December 2025 release) ranks every U.S. county against all the others. A score is a percentile: a risk score of 82 means a higher value than 82% of counties. The risk index is the expected annual loss scaled up for higher social vulnerability and down for stronger community resilience. FEMA groups risk and loss into five ratings by natural breaks, and vulnerability and resilience into national fifths.
Expected annual loss is FEMA’s modeled average yearly loss from 18 natural hazards to buildings (at replacement value), crops and livestock, and people, whose expected deaths and injuries FEMA converts to dollars. It is an average, not a forecast: a low-risk county can still have a bad year.
Vulnerability and resilience. Social vulnerability comes from the U.S. Census Bureau’s Community Resilience Estimates. Community resilience is FEMA’s version of the University of South Carolina’s Baseline Resilience Indicators for Communities (2020), which counts past mitigation spending among its inputs. Vulnerability scores bottom out: 334 of the 3,144 counties scored, 8 of them in Maryland, share the lowest score, 10.6. Population is the 2020 Census count.
Grants are FEMA’s Hazard Mitigation Assistance awards in Maryland that are closed, approved, obligated or awarded: the projects in OpenFEMA’s older project file, which FEMA froze on August 31, 2026, plus the grants FEMA has managed in FEMA GO since fiscal 2020, from HMA Subapplications (both retrieved September 30, 2026). Projects FEMA now lists as withdrawn or denied are left out unless money was obligated to them. Amounts are the federal share obligated. Each grant counts toward the county it serves; 103 statewide grants ($24.1M) count toward none.
FEMA describes the index as one source for risk-reduction decisions, to weigh alongside benefit-cost analysis and local knowledge.
National Risk IndexRisk Index data (OpenFEMA)HMA Subapplications (OpenFEMA)Risk Index FAQ (FEMA, PDF)
Working on resilience in Allegany County?
Council Fire helps local governments and their partners turn risk data like this into plans and projects their communities support.