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County risk profile

Allegany County, Maryland Climate risk & resilience profile

Inland flooding drives 76% of Allegany County's $15.0 million in expected yearly hazard losses, Maryland's highest share. Most FEMA grants paid for buyouts.

Risk index
58.5/ 10059th percentile of U.S. countiesRelatively Low
Expected annual loss
$15M/ yr51st percentile of U.S. countiesRelatively Low
Social vulnerability
81.2/ 10081st percentile; lower is less vulnerableVery High
Community resilience
80.9/ 10081st percentile; higher is more resilientVery High

Last updated: · Scores from FEMA’s National Risk Index (December 2025)

Allegany County's expected hazard losses are modest, $15.0 million a year, and unusually concentrated: inland flooding accounts for 76%, the largest single-hazard share of any Maryland county. On May 13, 2025, Georges Creek flooded Westernport and its neighbors, and FEMA validated $33.7 million in damages across Allegany and Garrett counties. Maryland asked twice for a federal disaster declaration and was turned down both times.

What drives the risk

Most of the county lies in the Ridge and Valley province, where streams rise on steep sandstone ridges and run through narrow valleys to the Potomac. The county's hazard mitigation plan notes that much of the growth before floodplain rules arrived in 1981 landed on steep slopes and in floodplains. Buildings account for 84% of the modeled loss. The plan records Georges Creek overtopping its banks in the 1996 floods and flooding homes in Midland, Lonaconing, Barton and Westernport.

Social vulnerability scores 81.2, the highest in Maryland and the state's only Very High rating. FEMA's index scales losses up where vulnerability is high and down where resilience is high. Allegany's resilience also rates Very High, but vulnerability wins out: the risk score of 58.5 sits above the loss score of 50.6.

Where the mitigation money has gone

More than half of the FEMA projects funded here since fiscal 1996 bought flood-prone property along rivers and streams, about $2.5 million of the $2.9 million total. Buyouts were also the aim of Project Impact: FEMA chose Allegany as one of seven pilot communities nationwide, and the workgroups the county formed in 1998 set acquisitions as their goal.

The Hazard Mitigation Grant Program, which is post-disaster money, supplied $2.4 million after declarations such as the January 1996 flooding and Tropical Storm Fran that September. The largest grant, $650 thousand to Cumberland in fiscal 2016, paired a buyout with riprap shoreline stabilization.

The mitigation plan

The 2024 plan update, prepared with Cumberland, Frostburg and five towns, has FEMA approval from June 11, 2024, to June 10, 2029. It counts 21 repetitive loss properties and keeps a flood buyout waiting list on which Barton and Lonaconing, both on Georges Creek, hold 25 of 58 properties. Purchases from that list went on hold while staff worked to move 25 mobile homes out of the floodplain at the Garden City park in LaVale.

What we'd look at next

Allegany's buyouts have mostly depended on disaster declarations, and the May 2025 flood produced none, which also shut off Hazard Mitigation Grant Program money for that event. We'd start with the Georges Creek properties on the waiting list and pursue money that doesn't wait on a declaration, including FEMA's Flood Mitigation Assistance, which has paid for two buyouts here. The plan names the other constraint: staff time. A buyout list moves only as fast as the office running it.

Hazards ranked by expected annual loss

What FEMA expects each hazard to cost Allegany County in an average year, in damage to buildings and crops and in the dollar value it puts on deaths and injuries. Inland flooding leads at $11.4M a year.

  1. Inland Flooding$11.4M76%
  2. Strong Wind$803K5%
  3. Heat Wave$766K5%
  4. Tornado$520K3%
  5. Hurricane$359K2%
  6. Hail$331K2%
  7. Earthquake$237K2%
  8. Lightning$196K1%

Of the $15M total: buildings $12.6M, people $2.2M, agriculture $129K.

All 18 hazards FEMA scores
HazardExpected annual lossLoss ratingRisk ratingEvents on record
Inland Flooding$11.36MRelatively LowRelatively Moderate56
Strong Wind$803KRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate133
Heat Wave$766KRelatively LowRelatively Low27
Tornado$520KRelatively LowRelatively Low10
Hurricane$359KRelatively LowRelatively Low10
Hail$331KRelatively LowRelatively Low88
Earthquake$237KVery LowVery Low—
Lightning$196KRelatively LowRelatively Low—
Cold Wave$124KRelatively LowVery Low79
Winter Weather$112KRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate372
Drought$86KRelatively LowRelatively Low140
Landslide$66KRelatively LowRelatively Moderate—
Ice Storm$39KRelatively LowRelatively Low24
Wildfire$6KVery LowVery Low—
Avalanche$853Very LowVery Low—
Coastal Flooding—Not ApplicableNot Applicable—
Tsunami—Not ApplicableNot Applicable—
Volcanic Activity—Not ApplicableNot Applicable—

FEMA hazard mitigation grants

Projects FEMA has funded in Allegany County through its Hazard Mitigation Assistance programs, as OpenFEMA lists them. Grants to towns and cities inside the county count here; statewide grants don’t.

Funded projects
23
Federal share
$2.9M
Fiscal years
1996–2020

By program

  • HMGP · Hazard Mitigation Grant Program$2.4M · 19 projects
  • FMA · Flood Mitigation Assistance$438K · 2 projects
  • PDM · Pre-Disaster Mitigation$41K · 2 projects

Most recent projects

  • FY2020 · HMGP · Closed$34K

    Local Multijurisdictional Multihazard Mitigation Plan

    Cumberland

  • FY2016 · HMGP · Closed$650K

    Acquisition of Private Real Property (Structures and Land) - Riverine; Shoreline Stabilization (Riprap, etc.)

    Cumberland

  • FY2016 · HMGP · Closed$0

    Local Multihazard Mitigation Plan

    Allegany

  • FY2016 · PDM · Closed$21K

    Local Multijurisdictional Multihazard Mitigation Plan

    Allegany County

  • FY2013 · HMGP · Closed$15K

    Acquisition of Private Real Property (Structures and Land) - Riverine

    Allegany

  • FY2013 · HMGP · Closed$99K

    Acquisition of Private Real Property (Structures and Land) - Riverine

    Frostburg

  • FY2012 · HMGP · Closed$88K

    Generators

    Frostburg

  • FY2012 · HMGP · Closed$73K

    Generators

    Frostburg

What the money paid for most often

  • Acquisition of Private Real Property (Structures and Land) - Riverine ×10
  • Local Multihazard Mitigation Plan ×3
  • Generators ×2
  • Acquisition of Public Real Property (Structures and Land) - Riverine ×2

Hazard mitigation plan

Allegany County, Maryland 2024 Hazard Mitigation Plan Update

A multi-jurisdiction plan covering the county, Cumberland, Frostburg and five towns. FEMA approved it on June 11, 2024, and the county adopted it on August 8, 2024.

Adopted
August 2024
FEMA approval runs to
June 10, 2029

Frequently Asked Questions

Inland flooding. FEMA's National Risk Index puts Allegany County's expected losses from inland flooding at $11.4 million a year, 76% of the county's $15.0 million total and the highest flood share of any Maryland county. Strong wind ($803 thousand) and heat waves ($766 thousand) rank a distant second and third.
Allegany County's 2024 Hazard Mitigation Plan Update covers the county, Cumberland, Frostburg and five towns. FEMA approved it on June 11, 2024, and its approval runs through June 10, 2029. The plan keeps a flood buyout waiting list, and Barton and Lonaconing on Georges Creek hold 25 of its 58 properties.
Allegany County got no federal disaster declaration after the May 13, 2025 flood along Georges Creek. FEMA validated $33.7 million in damages in Allegany and Garrett counties, but the president denied Maryland's request in July 2025 and its appeal in October. That also ruled out Hazard Mitigation Grant Program money, which paid for most past buyouts here.

Neighboring counties

About this data

Scores. FEMA’s National Risk Index (December 2025 release) ranks every U.S. county against all the others. A score is a percentile: a risk score of 82 means a higher value than 82% of counties. The risk index is the expected annual loss scaled up for higher social vulnerability and down for stronger community resilience. FEMA groups risk and loss into five ratings by natural breaks, and vulnerability and resilience into national fifths.

Expected annual loss is FEMA’s modeled average yearly loss from 18 natural hazards to buildings (at replacement value), crops and livestock, and people, whose expected deaths and injuries FEMA converts to dollars. It is an average, not a forecast: a low-risk county can still have a bad year.

Vulnerability and resilience. Social vulnerability comes from the U.S. Census Bureau’s Community Resilience Estimates. Community resilience is FEMA’s version of the University of South Carolina’s Baseline Resilience Indicators for Communities (2020), which counts past mitigation spending among its inputs. Vulnerability scores bottom out: 334 of the 3,144 counties scored, 8 of them in Maryland, share the lowest score, 10.6. Population is the 2020 Census count.

Grants are FEMA’s Hazard Mitigation Assistance awards in Maryland that are closed, approved, obligated or awarded: the projects in OpenFEMA’s older project file, which FEMA froze on August 31, 2026, plus the grants FEMA has managed in FEMA GO since fiscal 2020, from HMA Subapplications (both retrieved September 30, 2026). Projects FEMA now lists as withdrawn or denied are left out unless money was obligated to them. Amounts are the federal share obligated. Each grant counts toward the county it serves; 103 statewide grants ($24.1M) count toward none.

FEMA describes the index as one source for risk-reduction decisions, to weigh alongside benefit-cost analysis and local knowledge.

National Risk IndexRisk Index data (OpenFEMA)HMA Subapplications (OpenFEMA)Risk Index FAQ (FEMA, PDF)

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