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County risk profile

Somerset County, Maryland Climate risk & resilience profile

Coastal flooding drives 41% of Somerset County’s $16.9 million in expected yearly hazard losses, the largest coastal flood loss of any Maryland county.

Risk index
59.6/ 10060th percentile of U.S. countiesRelatively Low
Expected annual loss
$16.9M/ yr55th percentile of U.S. countiesRelatively Low
Social vulnerability
72.1/ 10072nd percentile; lower is less vulnerableRelatively High
Community resilience
91.9/ 10092nd percentile; higher is more resilientVery High

Last updated: · Scores from FEMA’s National Risk Index (December 2025)

Somerset is Maryland's second-smallest county by population, and it carries the state's largest modeled coastal flood loss: $7.0 million of $16.9 million in expected annual losses. It has also applied for mitigation money more often than any Maryland county except Baltimore County. FEMA lists 16 funded projects here, though together they come to just $2.4 million.

What drives the risk

Coastal flooding and hurricanes account for about 70% of expected losses, at 41% and 29%. The county's hazard plan says Crisfield took the worst of Hurricanes Isabel and Sandy because it sits just off Tangier Sound at near sea level, and it lists Smith Island among the shorelines with very high erosion rates. A coastal storm in October 2021 brought the highest water since Sandy, put most of Smith Island and Deal Island under some water and left Crisfield's roads all but impassable.

FEMA rates Somerset's social vulnerability relatively high, at 72.1, the third highest in Maryland after Allegany County and Baltimore City. A very high community resilience score of 91.9 offsets part of that, and the overall risk rating is relatively low.

Where the mitigation money has gone

About 91% of the federal share went to flood projects such as home elevations, tide gates and floodgates, and Crisfield received about 80% of it. The largest grant, $1.2 million, pays for 11 tide gates, culvert repairs and two stormwater pumping stations in the city. OpenFEMA shows Crisfield applied for similar tide gate and drainage work in fiscal 2017 and 2018 without success. The Hazard Mitigation Grant Program accounts for 8 of the 16 projects but only $888 thousand, including $517 thousand to elevate flood-prone homes in Crisfield after Sandy.

The mitigation plan

The Somerset County 2022 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan Update covers the county, Crisfield and Princess Anne. The county commissioners adopted it on March 14, 2023, the day FEMA approved it, and approval runs through March 13, 2028. The plan ranks shoreline erosion and sea level rise as a high risk and counted 87 repetitive-loss properties in 2022, 61 in the unincorporated county and 26 in Crisfield, only six of them mitigated. The county also keeps a nuisance flood plan for high-tide flooding, dated November 2024.

What we'd look at next

Somerset has shown it can write and resubmit applications; the harder problem is scale. Two proposals from the county's long-term recovery committee to elevate 14 flood-prone buildings were not selected in fiscal 2015 and 2016, and 81 repetitive-loss properties were still unmitigated in 2022. We'd use the plan update due before March 2028 to turn that list into a ranked queue of elevations and buyouts, starting with the communities the plan rates most exposed to storm surge, such as Crisfield, Smith Island and Deal Island.

Hazards ranked by expected annual loss

What FEMA expects each hazard to cost Somerset County in an average year, in damage to buildings and crops and in the dollar value it puts on deaths and injuries. Coastal flooding leads at $7M a year.

  1. Coastal Flooding$7M41%
  2. Hurricane$4.9M29%
  3. Inland Flooding$2.3M14%
  4. Cold Wave$867K5%
  5. Wildfire$602K4%
  6. Drought$337K2%
  7. Strong Wind$289K2%
  8. Heat Wave$165K1%

Of the $16.9M total: buildings $11.2M, people $1.6M, agriculture $4.2M.

All 18 hazards FEMA scores
HazardExpected annual lossLoss ratingRisk ratingEvents on record
Coastal Flooding$6.95MRelatively HighRelatively High—
Hurricane$4.95MRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate74
Inland Flooding$2.31MVery LowVery Low13
Cold Wave$867KRelatively LowRelatively Low20
Wildfire$602KRelatively LowRelatively Low—
Drought$337KRelatively LowRelatively Moderate126
Strong Wind$289KRelatively LowRelatively Low41
Heat Wave$165KVery LowVery Low53
Tornado$145KVery LowVery Low5
Earthquake$111KVery LowVery Low—
Hail$67KVery LowVery Low51
Lightning$63KVery LowVery Low—
Ice Storm$58KRelatively LowRelatively Low18
Winter Weather$35KRelatively LowRelatively Low88
Landslide$7Very LowVery Low—
Avalanche—Not ApplicableNot Applicable—
Tsunami—Insufficient DataInsufficient Data—
Volcanic Activity—Not ApplicableNot Applicable—

FEMA hazard mitigation grants

Projects FEMA has funded in Somerset County through its Hazard Mitigation Assistance programs, as OpenFEMA lists them. Grants to towns and cities inside the county count here; statewide grants don’t.

Funded projects
16
Federal share
$2.4M
Fiscal years
1999–2020

By program

  • BRIC · Building Resilient Infrastructure and Communities$1.3M · 3 projects
  • HMGP · Hazard Mitigation Grant Program$888K · 8 projects
  • PDM · Pre-Disaster Mitigation$134K · 3 projects
  • FMA · Flood Mitigation Assistance$71K · 2 projects

Most recent projects

  • FY2020 · HMGP · Approved$92K

    Elevation of Private Structures - Coastal

    Somerset (County)

  • FY2020 · BRIC · Awarded$30K

    Somerset County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update

    County of Somerset

  • FY2019 · BRIC · Obligated$1.24M

    Stormwater Management - Flapgates/Floodgates; Other Major Structural Projects

    City of Crisfield

  • FY2019 · BRIC · Closed$52K

    Elevation of Private Structures - Riverine

    Somerset County Emergency Services

  • FY2018 · FMA · Closed$25K

    Local Multijurisdictional Multihazard Mitigation Plan - NEW

    Somerset County Emergency Services

  • FY2016 · HMGP · Closed$61K

    Elevation of Private Structures - Coastal

    Somerset (County)

  • FY2016 · HMGP · Closed$7K

    Warning Systems (as a Component of a Planned, Adopted, and Exercised Risk Reduction Plan)

    Somerset (County)

  • FY2016 · PDM · Closed$30K

    Local Multijurisdictional Multihazard Mitigation Plan

    Somerset County

What the money paid for most often

  • Elevation of Private Structures - Coastal ×4
  • Stormwater Management - Flapgates/Floodgates ×2
  • Local Multihazard Mitigation Plan ×2
  • Local Multijurisdictional Multihazard Mitigation Plan ×1

Hazard mitigation plan

Somerset County 2022 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan Update

Adopted by the Board of County Commissioners on March 14, 2023, the day FEMA approved it, and later by Crisfield and Princess Anne. FEMA requires an update every five years for the county to stay eligible for its mitigation grants.

Adopted
March 2023
FEMA approval runs to
March 13, 2028

Frequently Asked Questions

Coastal flooding. FEMA’s National Risk Index puts Somerset County’s expected losses from coastal flooding at $7.0 million a year, 41% of the county’s $16.9 million total and the highest coastal flood figure of any Maryland county. Hurricanes ($4.9 million) and inland flooding ($2.3 million) come next.
Somerset County’s 2022 Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan Update covers the county, Crisfield and Princess Anne. The county commissioners adopted it on March 14, 2023, the same day FEMA approved it, and the approval runs through March 13, 2028. An approved plan keeps the county eligible for FEMA mitigation grants.
Maryland’s disaster recovery plan says Somerset County sustained the most damage of any county in the state from Hurricane Sandy in 2012, with 927 houses impacted and surge of up to 7 feet along the Chesapeake Bay. Somerset was the only Maryland county approved for FEMA aid to individual households after the storm.

Neighboring counties

About this data

Scores. FEMA’s National Risk Index (December 2025 release) ranks every U.S. county against all the others. A score is a percentile: a risk score of 82 means a higher value than 82% of counties. The risk index is the expected annual loss scaled up for higher social vulnerability and down for stronger community resilience. FEMA groups risk and loss into five ratings by natural breaks, and vulnerability and resilience into national fifths.

Expected annual loss is FEMA’s modeled average yearly loss from 18 natural hazards to buildings (at replacement value), crops and livestock, and people, whose expected deaths and injuries FEMA converts to dollars. It is an average, not a forecast: a low-risk county can still have a bad year.

Vulnerability and resilience. Social vulnerability comes from the U.S. Census Bureau’s Community Resilience Estimates. Community resilience is FEMA’s version of the University of South Carolina’s Baseline Resilience Indicators for Communities (2020), which counts past mitigation spending among its inputs. Vulnerability scores bottom out: 334 of the 3,144 counties scored, 8 of them in Maryland, share the lowest score, 10.6. Population is the 2020 Census count.

Grants are FEMA’s Hazard Mitigation Assistance awards in Maryland that are closed, approved, obligated or awarded: the projects in OpenFEMA’s older project file, which FEMA froze on August 31, 2026, plus the grants FEMA has managed in FEMA GO since fiscal 2020, from HMA Subapplications (both retrieved September 30, 2026). Projects FEMA now lists as withdrawn or denied are left out unless money was obligated to them. Amounts are the federal share obligated. Each grant counts toward the county it serves; 103 statewide grants ($24.1M) count toward none.

FEMA describes the index as one source for risk-reduction decisions, to weigh alongside benefit-cost analysis and local knowledge.

National Risk IndexRisk Index data (OpenFEMA)HMA Subapplications (OpenFEMA)Risk Index FAQ (FEMA, PDF)

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