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County risk profile

Calvert County, Maryland Climate risk & resilience profile

Inland flooding leads Calvert County's $16.0 million in expected yearly hazard losses, yet a quarter of its FEMA mitigation money went to cliff-area buyouts.

Risk index
28.9/ 10029th percentile of U.S. countiesVery Low
Expected annual loss
$16M/ yr53rd percentile of U.S. countiesRelatively Low
Social vulnerability
10.6/ 100The lowest score, shared by 334 U.S. countiesVery Low
Community resilience
93.8/ 10094th percentile; higher is more resilientVery High

Last updated: · Scores from FEMA’s National Risk Index (December 2025)

Calvert County's mitigation money has followed its cliffs more closely than FEMA's loss model does. The National Risk Index expects $16.0 million a year in hazard losses, led by inland flooding and hurricanes, and ranks landslides 15th of 18 hazards at $9 thousand. Yet about a quarter of the county's FEMA mitigation money, $1.9 million, has gone to buying properties at landslide risk, a risk the county's plan ties to its eroding bayfront cliffs.

What drives the risk

Inland flooding accounts for 36% of expected losses and hurricanes for 25%. Calvert sits between the Chesapeake Bay and the Patuxent River, and the county's plan counts 5,859 address points within 500 feet of the shoreline.

The model barely sees the cliffs: coastal erosion isn't among the 18 hazards FEMA scores. In 2013, Capital News Service reported that some 200 bayfront homes sat on unstable cliffs, and that owners had been unable to get permits to armor them since the 1980s because the work would endanger the threatened Puritan tiger beetle.

A social vulnerability score of 10.6, the lowest FEMA gives, and very high community resilience at 93.8 hold the overall risk index to 28.9, very low.

Where the mitigation money has gone

FEMA lists 23 funded projects in Calvert County from fiscal 1994 to 2023, worth $8.0 million in federal share. The Hazard Mitigation Grant Program, which pays out after disaster declarations, supplied $7.0 million of it. The largest grant, $3.2 million under the December 2009 winter storm declaration, bought nine properties in Chesapeake Beach, and $1.5 million under the Tropical Storm Isaias declaration was approved to buy three at landslide risk. Calvert holds 6% of Maryland's federal mitigation dollars against 2% of the state's expected losses.

Pre-disaster money for cliff buyouts has been unsteady. After FEMA canceled its Building Resilient Infrastructure and Communities program in April 2025, The BayNet reported that no recurring FEMA program remained to buy high-risk cliff houses. Under a court order, FEMA reopened the program to applications in March 2026, but the county's grant page still tells cliff owners that funding isn't available.

The mitigation plan

The Calvert County 2023 Hazard Mitigation Plan also covers the towns of Chesapeake Beach and North Beach. FEMA approved it for February 28, 2024, through February 27, 2029. The update added coastal erosion and landslides to the hazard list; neither appeared in the 2017 plan. The county has since adopted an updated flood mitigation plan in July 2024 and approved a high-tide flood plan in September 2025.

What we'd look at next

Calvert's cliff buyouts have leaned on post-disaster money, and the pre-disaster program that could fill the gaps was cut once and revived by a court. We would look at keeping appraisals, engineers' threat letters and owner interest current for the highest-risk cliff properties, so applications are ready whenever either kind of money opens. Inland flooding is still the largest modeled loss and deserves the same readiness.

Hazards ranked by expected annual loss

What FEMA expects each hazard to cost Calvert County in an average year, in damage to buildings and crops and in the dollar value it puts on deaths and injuries. Inland flooding leads at $5.7M a year.

  1. Inland Flooding$5.7M36%
  2. Hurricane$4M25%
  3. Heat Wave$1.5M9%
  4. Strong Wind$894K6%
  5. Coastal Flooding$754K5%
  6. Drought$725K5%
  7. Cold Wave$603K4%
  8. Lightning$559K3%

Of the $16M total: buildings $11.5M, people $3.6M, agriculture $812K.

All 18 hazards FEMA scores
HazardExpected annual lossLoss ratingRisk ratingEvents on record
Inland Flooding$5.72MRelatively LowVery Low32
Hurricane$4MRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate36
Heat Wave$1.45MRelatively LowRelatively Low107
Strong Wind$894KRelatively ModerateRelatively Low153
Coastal Flooding$754KRelatively ModerateRelatively Low—
Drought$725KRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate91
Cold Wave$603KRelatively LowRelatively Low20
Lightning$559KRelatively ModerateRelatively Moderate—
Earthquake$467KRelatively LowVery Low—
Tornado$315KVery LowVery Low17
Hail$183KRelatively LowVery Low117
Winter Weather$121KRelatively ModerateRelatively Low130
Wildfire$91KRelatively LowVery Low—
Ice Storm$88KRelatively LowRelatively Low20
Landslide$9KRelatively LowRelatively Low—
Avalanche—Not ApplicableNot Applicable—
Tsunami—Insufficient DataInsufficient Data—
Volcanic Activity—Not ApplicableNot Applicable—

FEMA hazard mitigation grants

Projects FEMA has funded in Calvert County through its Hazard Mitigation Assistance programs, as OpenFEMA lists them. Grants to towns and cities inside the county count here; statewide grants don’t.

Funded projects
23
Federal share
$8M
Fiscal years
1994–2023

By program

  • HMGP · Hazard Mitigation Grant Program$7M · 14 projects
  • FMA · Flood Mitigation Assistance$787K · 5 projects
  • LPDM · Legislative Pre-Disaster Mitigation$174K · 2 projects
  • BRIC · Building Resilient Infrastructure and Communities$30K · 1 project
  • PDM · Pre-Disaster Mitigation$22K · 1 project

Most recent projects

  • FY2023 · FMA · Awarded$231K

    Calvert County Mitigation Reconstruction FY23 FMA

    Board of County Commissioners of Calvert County, Maryland

  • FY2021 · HMGP · Approved$1.46M

    Acquisition of Private Real Property (Structures and Land) - Landslide

    Calvert (County)

  • FY2021 · FMA · Awarded$3K

    FMA 2021 Management Costs

    Maryland Department of Emergency Management

  • FY2021 · FMA · Awarded$25K

    2021 Calvert County Flood Mitigation Plan Update

    Board of County Commissioners of Calvert County, Maryland

  • FY2020 · HMGP · Closed$0

    Acquisition of Private Real Property (Structures and Land) - Riverine

    Calvert (County)

  • FY2020 · BRIC · Awarded$30K

    Calvert County 2023 HMP Update

    Board of County Commissioners of Calvert County, Maryland

  • FY2016 · HMGP · Closed$353K

    Acquisition of Private Real Property (Structures and Land) - Coastal

    Calvert (County)

  • FY2016 · HMGP · Approved$565K

    Elevation of Private Structures - Riverine

    Calvert (County)

What the money paid for most often

  • Local Multihazard Mitigation Plan ×3
  • Acquisition of Private Real Property (Structures and Land) - Riverine ×3
  • Acquisition of Private Real Property (Structures and Land) - Landslide ×2
  • Acquisition of Private Real Property (Structures and Land) - Coastal ×2

Hazard mitigation plan

Calvert County 2023 Hazard Mitigation Plan

A multi-jurisdictional plan that also covers Chesapeake Beach and North Beach. The county adopted it on February 28, 2024, the day FEMA approved it, and both towns adopted it later in 2024.

Adopted
February 2024
FEMA approval runs to
February 27, 2029

Frequently Asked Questions

Inland flooding. FEMA's National Risk Index puts Calvert County's expected losses from inland flooding at $5.7 million a year, 36% of the county's $16.0 million total. Hurricanes follow at $4.0 million. Coastal erosion, which the county added to its hazard plan in 2023, is not one of the 18 hazards the index scores.
Calvert County's 2023 Hazard Mitigation Plan covers the county and the towns of Chesapeake Beach and North Beach. FEMA approved it for February 28, 2024, through February 27, 2029. An approved plan keeps the county and both towns eligible for FEMA mitigation grants such as the Hazard Mitigation Grant Program.
Calvert County's bayfront cliffs are eroding, and a 2013 news report found that owners had been unable to get permits to armor them since the 1980s because the work would endanger the threatened Puritan tiger beetle. The county has used FEMA grants to buy and demolish at-risk houses, including $1.5 million under the Tropical Storm Isaias declaration for three properties.

Neighboring counties

About this data

Scores. FEMA’s National Risk Index (December 2025 release) ranks every U.S. county against all the others. A score is a percentile: a risk score of 82 means a higher value than 82% of counties. The risk index is the expected annual loss scaled up for higher social vulnerability and down for stronger community resilience. FEMA groups risk and loss into five ratings by natural breaks, and vulnerability and resilience into national fifths.

Expected annual loss is FEMA’s modeled average yearly loss from 18 natural hazards to buildings (at replacement value), crops and livestock, and people, whose expected deaths and injuries FEMA converts to dollars. It is an average, not a forecast: a low-risk county can still have a bad year.

Vulnerability and resilience. Social vulnerability comes from the U.S. Census Bureau’s Community Resilience Estimates. Community resilience is FEMA’s version of the University of South Carolina’s Baseline Resilience Indicators for Communities (2020), which counts past mitigation spending among its inputs. Vulnerability scores bottom out: 334 of the 3,144 counties scored, 8 of them in Maryland, share the lowest score, 10.6. Population is the 2020 Census count.

Grants are FEMA’s Hazard Mitigation Assistance awards in Maryland that are closed, approved, obligated or awarded: the projects in OpenFEMA’s older project file, which FEMA froze on August 31, 2026, plus the grants FEMA has managed in FEMA GO since fiscal 2020, from HMA Subapplications (both retrieved September 30, 2026). Projects FEMA now lists as withdrawn or denied are left out unless money was obligated to them. Amounts are the federal share obligated. Each grant counts toward the county it serves; 103 statewide grants ($24.1M) count toward none.

FEMA describes the index as one source for risk-reduction decisions, to weigh alongside benefit-cost analysis and local knowledge.

National Risk IndexRisk Index data (OpenFEMA)HMA Subapplications (OpenFEMA)Risk Index FAQ (FEMA, PDF)

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